The US has allegedly bombed the Syrian army, killing at least three, wounding others and destroying a number of military vehicles along with a reported significant quantity of munitions.
Reports coming from Syrian and Russian sources and the news is now being picked up by the mainstream media who are all putting their spin on things. The US are denying it was them though they admit they are conducting airstrikes 30 miles away and the US Airforce do have an unfortunate reputation for accidents like this.
The target which was allegedly hit is a large but surrounded Assad base which has held out against IS attacks for a considerable period of time. This is due to strong defences, a powerful defending force and good stockpiles of supplies.
IS forces are reported to be attacking the base now, either rapidly responding to the accidental attack or acting in the same way that the Kurds are in Iraq, having US airstrikes to support their attacks. Whatever the reason behind the attacks on the base if it falls to IS as a result the accusations will fly in every direction.
The Syrian army wasn't expecting an air attack since no one fighting them has aircraft but they have anti air defences which I suspect are now active and waiting for the next US aircraft to fly close enough to attack them.
Pilots of aircraft in combat are very busy, flying their craft, looking for targets or attacks and many other things. But in an age of GPS and of almost daily statements that potential targets are checked to ensure there are no civilian casualties it is highly suspicious that an airstrike failed to notice the target was a well known Syrian army target with uniformed soldiers NOT an IS target.
Pre mission recon should have clearly shown the true nature of the target.
Or perhaps the GPS systems are so inaccurate that they were miles off target, or were they not bothering and just bombing a target with tanks and other armoured vehicles and some bunkers without caring who they were hitting.
As I write this post the US are now blaming Russia for the attack.
Syria has aircraft and is bombing but knows the base is there and would be insane to weaken the defences of the only base they have in the entire region and lynch pin of their remaining hold on the district. They could have done so by accident but I have seen no reports of Syrian night air attacks or of using high accuracy ground attack missiles.
Russia has aircraft and is conducting day and night attacks, they do have missiles capable of taking out multiple vehicles and ground targets quickly and accurately. However while Russia does seem to have been conducting attacks against IS and this entire area apart from the base and the villages it protects is under IS control it seems odd that they would conduct a multi plane attack with each aircraft launching a number of missiles against bunkers and armoured vehicles where they knew Assad had a base. They are also conducting ship launched missile attacks but again unless this attack was deliberately targeted it would seem unlikely.
Local reports are of multiple missiles hitting the base which tends to rule out a few missiles from a Russian sea launched missile attack getting lost or just crashing. If deliberate I would ask why, it’s not like Russia needs justification with one of its aircraft down to Turkey though blaming this attack on the US certainly sets the case for an imposed no fly area against all alliance aircraft anywhere near Assad or Russian bases.
The US were reported to be conducting raids little more than a minutes flying time away from this base both by local news and by US news and the US DoD, 50 kilometres is next to nothing for an attack aircraft coming out of a bombing run at full speed to avoid any ground fire. They are, by their own admission bombing in the area and a little more than a minutes flight time is bloody close when dealing with the ‘Oops was that a hospital we attacked, repeatedly, for an hour’, US Air Force.
The British are bombing oil fields in night raids and there are a number of oil fileds in this area, the much advertised missiles they carry could certainly take out a number of armoured vehicles in an attack and with bombs they could take out bunkers and munitions stockpiles.
Or the French are also doing much the same thing.
I doubt it matters now, another step has been taken and now with British aircraft in the skies of Syria as part of the Alliance and even the suspicion that the alliance is actively bombing Assad and the Syrian military by ACCIDENT or DELIBERATELY the likelihood of Russia / Syria being in a shooting war with the US / France / UK / NATO has just gone up another notch.
It's a small step for someone, afraid they will be bombed next, to open fire on non friendly aircraft that fly too close and with both Russia and Syria equipped with modern anti aircraft missiles the results are going to be shot down aircraft.
Then the US will go gunghoe and start attacking air defeces that are threatening alliance aircraft and away we go, grab your tin hats lads and lasses, it'll be over by Christmas (which year is unstated).
Thanks Dave and all those MPs who voted to send the RAF into this madness, no plan, no long term aims, just drop bombs on people until world war three starts or they get shot down by Syria or Russia.
In many ways it doesn't matter who fired the missiles in much the same way that it no longer matters if Turkey attacked the Russian aircraft in Syrian airspace or Turkish airspace or how many warnings they issued in the 10 seconds it was over Turkey.
Russia and Syria both blame NATO and are very likely to be taking steps to prevent it happening again. ANY US / French / British aircraft that even looks like it will fly near a Syrian or Russian base is going to be tracked by ground to air weapons and NATO have already set the precedent that a few warnings are enough to justify opening fire on an aircraft that was violating their airspace.
The Syrian government has not given the US / France / Britain or Turkey permission to fly over Syria, that makes anything but a Syrian or Russian plane an enemy invader and if those enemy aircraft are reported to be bombing Syrian bases what next? An attack on another Assad base, how about an attack on the Russians.
Even thinking US aircraft are on an attack run at a Russian base is going to be enough to set off some nervous ground commander and once the S300s and S400s start flying the whole of North and west Syria becomes a war zone between NATO and the Russia / Syria / Iran cooperative. Given the range of the S400s most of the rest of Syria and a chunk of Turkey gets included.
To me highest likelihood is the US but even if it’s a third party trying to start WW3 so they can take over the world afterwards it’s been done and the US denying it makes no difference. There will be zero trust in the US denials or promises it won't happen again.
Step by step a group of Psychopaths are walking us into war and it doesn't matter if the ranks of those people includes our Dave or Obama or any other politicians or if they are just puppets and idiots being led to war. We are walking into the same situation that led to world war one AND world war two.
These things have a momentum of their own, they grow too big and too inevitable to be stopped or controlled, war becomes inevitable. That is where we are heading. step after step and soon enough we will reach the point where we will no longer be asking IF it will be war.