For those who have been watching the news (and if you have missed what is going on how is the weather at the South Pole?) we are sitting watching some truly classic, entertaining and utterly destructive political backstabbing and betrayal on an epic scale. Both of our main political parties are engaged in the kind of political infighting that Caesar would recognize as he saw all of the senators with daggers drawn advanced toward him.
There are two separate fights, one in the Labour party which is very much active, and one in the Tory party that has gone into slow motion because no one wants to set off Cameron’s nasty little trap.
On Sunday Hilary Benn apparently phoned Corbyn for a little chat that seems to have included a few choice comments about the urgent need for Corbyn to quit at once as he was a failure, or some such. End result, Benn was sacked. Sudden shock and outrage, spontaneous anger at the terrible way that the poor man had been treated and half the shadow cabinet decided to quit.
Though amazingly they did it in a very British way, they formed a queue. For those who were awake and paying attention you will know what I mean but for anyone who missed it, they resigned one by one and each an hour later that the last one. A regular, hourly resignation. Then they jumped in front of a camera or reporter and explained how terrible things were, how badly Corbyn had failed, the need for a proper leader, etc etc.
One after another they resigned, just as the media was beginning to lose interest, pop, another one quits. Then this morning (Monday), it continued, one by one more people quitting, all through the day a steady stream of deep regrets, lack of confidence in Corbyn etc and a resignation. The comments all sound the same, the sound bites carefully rehearsed and written by a speechwriter, one by one, hour by hour.
What we are looking at right now is a carefully planned and well organised operation to maximize the damage they do against Corbyn.
Each shadow cabinet member is quitting on a timetable, enough time is left after one goes to keep the sound bites and the fear going then as things start to quieten down, the next one resigns. There is a small team of PR types and political manipulators sitting in an office somewhere carefully running this.
Each shadow Cab person who resigns is running to a script, just listen to how similar their speeches and comments are, well scripted from a single source. The revenge of the Blair minions.
I suspect that Friday morning the result of the vote left everyone shocked and stunned but by Friday afternoon someone had one of those cunning plans and got a few other people round for a quick chat about activating operation ‘Overthrow Corbyn’, the super secret plan that was set up when Corbyn was elected and all those MPs came out and said they didn’t want him and would get rid of him as soon as possible, including the comment from one fairly well known person that they would rather lose the 2020 election than have Corbyn as leader.
So they had this cunning plan, carefully set out to cause maximum damage, get the media focused and spread as much shit as possible on Corbyns name.
Then, given the timing, I suspect they spent Saturday calling people and getting confirmations that people were in with the plan, once they had enough people with them (Blairites mostly but they pulled in a few from the left as well) they set up this schedule and kicked things off Sunday with a provocation, they needed something to claim outrage at, so Benn wandered off to take one for the team.
We have been watching the results, the media bias is heavily anti Corbyn (as usual), the MPs are faint with their praise of him or speaking from the same hymn sheet the quitters used and Tomorrow we have a vote of no confidence.
Thing is this seems to have been done quickly, it is well organised but has the feeling of being done at short notice, they don't have an heir to rally behind, there is no front runner or obvious replacement, which is why I think this is an old plan that has jumped off early, they would have had someone ready to step straight in if this had been done properly, most likely they are trying to take advantage of the shock Leave vote to stick in the knives they had ready but weren't planning to use for a while yet.
It’s bloody, it’s dragging Labour into the headlines for the worst possible reasons and making the whole party look bad, but that doesn’t matter, remember that whole we would rather lose the election than have Corbyn as leader, well here it is.
At a time when Labour have been given the opportunity to utterly discredit the Tories (who ran the leave campaign and caused the whole mess) they instead decided to do a bit of Act 3 Scene 1 (that’s the bit where Julius Caesar gets well and truly stabbed in the back, the sides and the front).
So basically at a time when the Tories are extremely vulnerable and tearing themselves apart along with the whole country, Labour decides to have a nasty little civil war on the front pages. There is a reason I call them the Incompetent party.
For those who read my posts and thank you for doing so, I have been saying for months that Cameron was around to catch the blame for the EU vote whichever way it went so probably Boris or May would step in free from the smell of the leave / stay shit pile.
My expectation was for late 2016 to early 2017, things jumped off a bit quickly but otherwise it’s not been a surprise, he was a dead duck PM as soon as he announced he wouldn’t be leader for the next election and post the EU vote was the logical time.
However, like IDS he caught me a little by surprise with his actions, I have to say the man has improved himself slightly in my eyes, he is still a two faced self serving scumbag who has been a disaster for this country and most of its people, but he does revenge like a Klingon.
He jumped before he was pushed, left invoking article 50 to his successor, and in doing so he has dumped a massive amount of the brown smelly stuff onto other people. His resignation speech was quick, people were still trying to understand just what the Leave vote meant and Dave wandered out of the door to number ten and said he was quitting after the summer and a new leader would chair the Tory conference in October.
By announcing his resignation (now rather than being kicked out later) he is now free to coast the summer looking for a new occupation while the rest of the party and the candidates to replace him suddenly find that great steaming pile of stuff they threw at Dave has come back to visit them.
Cameron has NOT invoked article 50 and has said he isn't going to, if he holds to that despite the EU leaders screaming and threatening (which they already are) then whoever becomes PM after him is basically (excuse the language here) fucked.
The next PM will be the one who either invokes article 50 at some point and therefore massively pisses off 48% (plus the regrexitiers) of the population and if they don't invoke 50 they piss off the other 52%. Whichever way they go they are going to have half their party and the entire country hating them. Dave has done a classic revenge here, a real "For hate's sake, I spit my last breath at thee" thing. With his last gasp as PM he has doomed his successor to being the person who makes the decision.
There is a ruddy great landmine sitting under the PMs chair in number ten, its musical chairs where the winner gets their career blown to little pieces.
After six years of fear, hatred and division, Dave has made sure that whoever follows him will be engulfed in the same fear, hate and division from their very first day. You can see this when the leave leaders talk about setting up a new government and building a negotiating team BEFORE they start the leave negotiations, no one wants to press the big red button when it has such an obvious trap under it.
The next Tory leader is done for unless they come up with something seriously out of the box and unexpected, the Scots are revolting (again), the Irish are revolting, half the population is angry at the other half and everyone who can possibly profit from this mess is spreading fear and panic across the world markets to make more profit regardless of the fallout.
And the next Tory leader gets the lot. Now things will have calmed down somewhat in terms of the Pound, the markets etc and the EU leaders may well be panicking as they face their own leave votes but it's still a huge trap for the next PM, so those who replace him will have no choice but to set off that trap.
Is that a Dagger I see? It certainly is.